Stochastic Analysis of Mixed Fractional Gaussian Processes presents the main tools necessary to characterize Gaussian processes. The book focuses on the particular case of the linear combination of independent fractional and sub-fractional Brownian motions with different Hurst indices. Stochastic integration with respect to these processes is considered, as is the study of the existence and uniqueness of solutions of related SDE's. Applications in finance and statistics are also explored, with each chapter supplying a number of exercises to illustrate key concepts.

This book is devoted to parameter estimation in diffusion models involving fractional Brownian motion and related processes. For many years now, standard Brownian motion has been (and still remains) a popular model of randomness used to investigate processes in the natural sciences, financial markets, and the economy. The substantial limitation in the use of stochastic diffusion models with Brownian motion is due to the fact that the motion has independent increments, and, therefore, the random noise it generates is "white," i.e., uncorrelated. However, many processes in the natural sciences, computer networks and financial markets have long-term or short-term dependences, i.e., the correlations of random noise in these processes are non-zero, and slowly or rapidly decrease with time. In particular, models of financial markets demonstrate various kinds of memory and usually this memory is modeled by fractional Brownian diffusion. Therefore, the book constructs diffusion models with memory and provides simple and suitable parameter estimation methods in these models, making it a valuable resource for all researchers in this field. The book is addressed to specialists and researchers in the theory and statistics of stochastic processes, practitioners who apply statistical methods of parameter estimation, graduate and post-graduate students who study mathematical modeling and statistics.

Financial market modeling is a prime example of a real-life application of probability theory and stochastics. This authoritative book discusses the discrete-time approximation and other qualitative properties of models of financial markets, like the Black-Scholes model and its generalizations, offering in this way rigorous insights on one of the most interesting applications of mathematics nowadays.

This book is devoted to parameter estimation in diffusion models involving fractional Brownian motion and related processes. For many years now, standard Brownian motion has been (and still remains) a popular model of randomness used to investigate processes in the natural sciences, financial markets, and the economy. The substantial limitation in the use of stochastic diffusion models with Brownian motion is due to the fact that the motion has independent increments, and, therefore, the random noise it generates is "white," i.e., uncorrelated. However, many processes in the natural sciences, computer networks and financial markets have long-term or short-term dependences, i.e., the correlations of random noise in these processes are non-zero, and slowly or rapidly decrease with time. In particular, models of financial markets demonstrate various kinds of memory and usually this memory is modeled by fractional Brownian diffusion. Therefore, the book constructs diffusion models with memory and provides simple and suitable parameter estimation methods in these models, making it a valuable resource for all researchers in this field. The book is addressed to specialists and researchers in the theory and statistics of stochastic processes, practitioners who apply statistical methods of parameter estimation, graduate and post-graduate students who study mathematical modeling and statistics.

This volume presents an extensive overview of all major modern trends in applications of probability and stochastic analysis. It will be a great source of inspiration for designing new algorithms, modeling procedures and experiments. Accessible to researchers, practitioners, as well as graduate and postgraduate students, this volume presents a variety of new tools, ideas and methodologies in the fields of optimization, physics, finance, probability, hydrodynamics, reliability, decision making, mathematical finance, mathematical physics and economics. Contributions to this Work include those of selected speakers from the international conference entitled "Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications III," held on September 10 -14, 2012 at Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Ukraine. The conference covered the following areas of research in probability theory and its applications: stochastic analysis, stochastic processes and fields, random matrices, optimization methods in probability, stochastic models of evolution systems, financial mathematics, risk processes and actuarial mathematics and information security.

This volume presents an extensive overview of all major modern trends in applications of probability and stochastic analysis. It will be a great source of inspiration for designing new algorithms, modeling procedures and experiments. Accessible to researchers, practitioners, as well as graduate and postgraduate students, this volume presents a variety of new tools, ideas and methodologies in the fields of optimization, physics, finance, probability, hydrodynamics, reliability, decision making, mathematical finance, mathematical physics and economics.

Contributions to this Work include those of selected speakers from the international conference entitled Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications III, held on September 10 14, 2012 at Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Ukraine. The conference covered the following areas of research in probability theory and its applications: stochastic analysis, stochastic processes and fields, random matrices, optimization methods in probability, stochastic models of evolution systems, financial mathematics, risk processes and actuarial mathematics and information security."

Thiscollectionofproblemsisplannedasatextbookforuniversitycoursesinthe theoryofstochasticprocessesandrelatedspecialcourses. Theproblemsinthebook haveawidespectrumofthelevelofdif cultyandcanbeusefulforreaderswith variouslevelsofmasteringinthetheoryofstochasticprocesses. Togetherwithte- nicalandillustrativeproblemsintendedforbeginners,thebookcontainsanumber ofproblemsoftheoreticalnaturethatcanbeusefulforstudentsandundergraduate studentsthatpursueadvancedstudiesinthetheoryofstochasticprocessesandits- plications. Amongothers,theimportantaimofthebookistoprovideateachingstaff anef cienttoolforpreparingseminarstudies,tests,andexamsconcerninguniversity coursesinthetheoryofstochasticprocessesandrelatedtopics. Whilecomposingthe book,theauthorshavepartiallyusedthecollectionsofproblemsinprobabilityt- ory[16,65,75,83]. Also,someexercisesandproblemsfromthemonographsand textbooks[4,9,19,22,82]wereused. Atthesametime,alargepartofourproblem bookcontainsoriginalmaterial. Thebookisorganizedasfollows. Theproblemsarecollectedintochapters,each chapterbeingdevotedtoacertaintopic. Atthebeginningofeachchapter,theth- reticalgroundsforthecorrespondingtopicaregivenbrie ytogetherwiththelistof bibliography,whichthereadercanuseinordertostudythistopicinmoredetail. For themostoftheproblems,eitherhintsorcompletesolutions(oranswers)aregiven, andsomeoftheproblemsareprovidedwithbothhintsandsolutions(answers). H- ever,theauthorsdonotrecommendthatareaderusethehintssystematically,because solvingaproblemwithoutassistanceismuchmoreusefulthanusingaready-made idea. Somestatementsthathaveaparticulartheoreticalinterestareformulatedon theoreticalgrounds,andtheirproofsareformulatedasproblemsforthereader. Such problemsaresuppliedwitheithercompletesolutionsordetailedhints. Inordertoworkwiththeproblembookef ciently,areadershouldbeacquainted withprobabilitytheory,calculus,andmeasuretheorywithinthescopeofresp- tiveuniversity courses. Standard notions, suchas random variable, measurability, independence, Lebesgue measure and integral, and so on are used without ad- tionaldiscussion. Allthenewnotionsandstatementsrequiredforsolvingthepr- lemsaregiveneitherontheoreticalgroundsorintheformulationsoftheproblems vii viii Preface straightforwardly. However,sometimesanotionisusedinthetextbeforeitsformal de nition. Forinstance,theWienerandPoissonprocessesareprocesseswithin- pendentincrementsandthusareformallyintroducedinaTheoreticalgroundsfor Chapter5,buttheseprocessesareusedwidelyintheproblemsofChapters2to4. Theauthorsrecommendthatareaderwhocomestoanunknownnotionorobject usetheIndexinorderto ndthecorrespondingformalde nition. Thesamerec- mendationconcernssomestandardabbreviationsandsymbolslistedattheendofthe book. Someproblemsinthebookformcycles:solutionstooneofthemaregrounded onstatementsofothersoronauxiliaryconstructionsdescribedinsomepreceding solutions. Sometimes,onthecontrary,itisproposedtoprovethesamestatement withindifferentproblemsusingessentiallydifferenttechniques. Theauthorsrec- mendareaderpayspeci cattentiontothesefruitfulinternallinksbetweenvarious topicsofthetheoryofstochasticprocesses. Everypartofthebookwascomposedsubstantiallybyoneauthor. Chapters1-6, and16arecomposedbyA. Kulik,Chapters7,12-15,18,and19byYu. Mishura, Chapters 8-10 by A. Pilipenko, Chapter 17 by A. Kukush, and Chapter 20 by D. Gusak. Chapter11waspreparedjointlybyD. GusakandA. Pilipenko. Atthe sametime,everyauthorhasmadeacontributiontootherpartsofthebookbyprop- ingseparateproblemsorcyclesofproblems,improvingpreliminaryversionsoft- oreticalgrounds,andeditingthe naltext. The authors would like to express their deep gratitude to M. Portenko and A. Ivanovfortheircarefulreadingofapreliminaryversionofthebookandva- ablecommentsthatledtosigni cantimprovementofthetext. Theauthorsarealso gratefultoT. Yakovenko,G. Shevchenko,O. Soloveyko, Yu. Kartashov, Yu. K- menko,A. Malenko,andN. Ryabovafortheirassistanceintranslation,preparing lesandpictures,andcomposingthesubjectindexandreferences. Thetheoryofstochasticprocessesisanextendeddiscipline,andtheauthors- derstandthattheproblembookinitscurrentformmaycausecriticalremarksfrom readers,concerningeitherthestructureofthebookorthecontentofseparatech- ters. Whilepublishingtheproblembookinitscurrentform,theauthorsareopenfor remarks,comments,andpropositions,andexpressinadvancetheirgratitudetoall theircorrespondents. Kyiv DmytroGusak December2008 AlexanderKukush AlexeyKulik YuliyaMishura AndreyPilipenko Contents 1 De?nition of stochastic process. Cylinder?-algebra, ?nite-dimensional distributions, the Kolmogorov theorem...1 Theoreticalgrounds ...1 Bibliography...3 Problems...3 Hints...7 AnswersandSolutions...9 2 Characteristics of a stochastic process. Mean and covariance functions. Characteristic functions...11 Theoreticalgrounds ...11 Bibliography...13 Problems...13 Hints...16 AnswersandSolutions...17 3 Trajectories. Modi?cations. Filtrations...21 Theoreticalgrounds ...21 Bibliography...24 Problems...24 Hints...29 AnswersandSolutions...31 4 Continuity. Differentiability. Integrability...33 Theoreticalgrounds ...33 Bibliography...34 Problems...34 Hints...38 AnswersandSolutions...40 ix x Contents 5 Stochastic processes with independent increments. Wiener and Poisson processes. Poisson point measures...

Thiscollectionofproblemsisplannedasatextbookforuniversitycoursesinthe theoryofstochasticprocessesandrelatedspecialcourses. Theproblemsinthebook haveawidespectrumofthelevelofdif cultyandcanbeusefulforreaderswith variouslevelsofmasteringinthetheoryofstochasticprocesses. Togetherwithte- nicalandillustrativeproblemsintendedforbeginners,thebookcontainsanumber ofproblemsoftheoreticalnaturethatcanbeusefulforstudentsandundergraduate studentsthatpursueadvancedstudiesinthetheoryofstochasticprocessesandits- plications. Amongothers,theimportantaimofthebookistoprovideateachingstaff anef cienttoolforpreparingseminarstudies,tests,andexamsconcerninguniversity coursesinthetheoryofstochasticprocessesandrelatedtopics. Whilecomposingthe book,theauthorshavepartiallyusedthecollectionsofproblemsinprobabilityt- ory[16,65,75,83]. Also,someexercisesandproblemsfromthemonographsand textbooks[4,9,19,22,82]wereused. Atthesametime,alargepartofourproblem bookcontainsoriginalmaterial. Thebookisorganizedasfollows. Theproblemsarecollectedintochapters,each chapterbeingdevotedtoacertaintopic. Atthebeginningofeachchapter,theth- reticalgroundsforthecorrespondingtopicaregivenbrie ytogetherwiththelistof bibliography,whichthereadercanuseinordertostudythistopicinmoredetail. For themostoftheproblems,eitherhintsorcompletesolutions(oranswers)aregiven, andsomeoftheproblemsareprovidedwithbothhintsandsolutions(answers). H- ever,theauthorsdonotrecommendthatareaderusethehintssystematically,because solvingaproblemwithoutassistanceismuchmoreusefulthanusingaready-made idea. Somestatementsthathaveaparticulartheoreticalinterestareformulatedon theoreticalgrounds,andtheirproofsareformulatedasproblemsforthereader. Such problemsaresuppliedwitheithercompletesolutionsordetailedhints. Inordertoworkwiththeproblembookef ciently,areadershouldbeacquainted withprobabilitytheory,calculus,andmeasuretheorywithinthescopeofresp- tiveuniversity courses. Standard notions, suchas random variable, measurability, independence, Lebesgue measure and integral, and so on are used without ad- tionaldiscussion. Allthenewnotionsandstatementsrequiredforsolvingthepr- lemsaregiveneitherontheoreticalgroundsorintheformulationsoftheproblems vii viii Preface straightforwardly. However,sometimesanotionisusedinthetextbeforeitsformal de nition. Forinstance,theWienerandPoissonprocessesareprocesseswithin- pendentincrementsandthusareformallyintroducedinaTheoreticalgroundsfor Chapter5,buttheseprocessesareusedwidelyintheproblemsofChapters2to4. Theauthorsrecommendthatareaderwhocomestoanunknownnotionorobject usetheIndexinorderto ndthecorrespondingformalde nition. Thesamerec- mendationconcernssomestandardabbreviationsandsymbolslistedattheendofthe book. Someproblemsinthebookformcycles:solutionstooneofthemaregrounded onstatementsofothersoronauxiliaryconstructionsdescribedinsomepreceding solutions. Sometimes,onthecontrary,itisproposedtoprovethesamestatement withindifferentproblemsusingessentiallydifferenttechniques. Theauthorsrec- mendareaderpayspeci cattentiontothesefruitfulinternallinksbetweenvarious topicsofthetheoryofstochasticprocesses. Everypartofthebookwascomposedsubstantiallybyoneauthor. Chapters1-6, and16arecomposedbyA. Kulik,Chapters7,12-15,18,and19byYu. Mishura, Chapters 8-10 by A. Pilipenko, Chapter 17 by A. Kukush, and Chapter 20 by D. Gusak. Chapter11waspreparedjointlybyD. GusakandA. Pilipenko. Atthe sametime,everyauthorhasmadeacontributiontootherpartsofthebookbyprop- ingseparateproblemsorcyclesofproblems,improvingpreliminaryversionsoft- oreticalgrounds,andeditingthe naltext. The authors would like to express their deep gratitude to M. Portenko and A. Ivanovfortheircarefulreadingofapreliminaryversionofthebookandva- ablecommentsthatledtosigni cantimprovementofthetext. Theauthorsarealso gratefultoT. Yakovenko,G. Shevchenko,O. Soloveyko, Yu. Kartashov, Yu. K- menko,A. Malenko,andN. Ryabovafortheirassistanceintranslation,preparing lesandpictures,andcomposingthesubjectindexandreferences. Thetheoryofstochasticprocessesisanextendeddiscipline,andtheauthors- derstandthattheproblembookinitscurrentformmaycausecriticalremarksfrom readers,concerningeitherthestructureofthebookorthecontentofseparatech- ters. Whilepublishingtheproblembookinitscurrentform,theauthorsareopenfor remarks,comments,andpropositions,andexpressinadvancetheirgratitudetoall theircorrespondents. Kyiv DmytroGusak December2008 AlexanderKukush AlexeyKulik YuliyaMishura AndreyPilipenko Contents 1 De?nition of stochastic process. Cylinder?-algebra, ?nite-dimensional distributions, the Kolmogorov theorem...1 Theoreticalgrounds ...1 Bibliography...3 Problems...3 Hints...7 AnswersandSolutions...9 2 Characteristics of a stochastic process. Mean and covariance functions. Characteristic functions...11 Theoreticalgrounds ...11 Bibliography...13 Problems...13 Hints...16 AnswersandSolutions...17 3 Trajectories. Modi?cations. Filtrations...21 Theoreticalgrounds ...21 Bibliography...24 Problems...24 Hints...29 AnswersandSolutions...31 4 Continuity. Differentiability. Integrability...33 Theoreticalgrounds ...33 Bibliography...34 Problems...34 Hints...38 AnswersandSolutions...40 ix x Contents 5 Stochastic processes with independent increments. Wiener and Poisson processes. Poisson point measures...

This volume examines the theory of fractional Brownian motion and other long-memory processes. Interesting topics for PhD students and specialists in probability theory, stochastic analysis and financial mathematics demonstrate the modern level of this field. It proves that the market with stock guided by the mixed model is arbitrage-free without any restriction on the dependence of the components and deduces different forms of the Black-Scholes equation for fractional market.

This book is devoted to unstable solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Despite the huge interest in the theory of SDEs, this book is the first to present a systematic study of the instability and asymptotic behavior of the corresponding unstable stochastic systems. The limit theorems contained in the book are not merely of purely mathematical value; rather, they also have practical value. Instability or violations of stability are noted in many phenomena, and the authors attempt to apply mathematical and stochastic methods to deal with them. The main goals include exploration of Brownian motion in environments with anomalies and study of the motion of the Brownian particle in layered media. A fairly wide class of continuous Markov processes is obtained in the limit. It includes Markov processes with discontinuous transition densities, processes that are not solutions of any Ito's SDEs, and the Bessel diffusion process. The book is self-contained, with presentation of definitions and auxiliary results in an Appendix. It will be of value for specialists in stochastic analysis and SDEs, as well as for researchers in other fields who deal with unstable systems and practitioners who apply stochastic models to describe phenomena of instability.

This book is devoted to unstable solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Despite the huge interest in the theory of SDEs, this book is the first to present a systematic study of the instability and asymptotic behavior of the corresponding unstable stochastic systems. The limit theorems contained in the book are not merely of purely mathematical value; rather, they also have practical value. Instability or violations of stability are noted in many phenomena, and the authors attempt to apply mathematical and stochastic methods to deal with them. The main goals include exploration of Brownian motion in environments with anomalies and study of the motion of the Brownian particle in layered media. A fairly wide class of continuous Markov processes is obtained in the limit. It includes Markov processes with discontinuous transition densities, processes that are not solutions of any Ito's SDEs, and the Bessel diffusion process. The book is self-contained, with presentation of definitions and auxiliary results in an Appendix. It will be of value for specialists in stochastic analysis and SDEs, as well as for researchers in other fields who deal with unstable systems and practitioners who apply stochastic models to describe phenomena of instability.

Ruin Probabilities: Smoothness, Bounds, Supermartingale Approach deals with continuous-time risk models and covers several aspects of risk theory. The first of them is the smoothness of the survival probabilities. In particular, the book provides a detailed investigation of the continuity and differentiability of the infinite-horizon and finite-horizon survival probabilities for different risk models. Next, it gives some possible applications of the results concerning the smoothness of the survival probabilities. Additionally, the book introduces the supermartingale approach, which generalizes the martingale one introduced by Gerber, to get upper exponential bounds for the infinite-horizon ruin probabilities in some generalizations of the classical risk model with risky investments.

Finance Mathematics is devoted to financial markets both with discrete and continuous time, exploring how to make the transition from discrete to continuous time in option pricing. This book features a detailed dynamic model of financial markets with discrete time, for application in real-world environments, along with Martingale measures and martingale criterion and the proven absence of arbitrage. With a focus on portfolio optimization, fair pricing, investment risk, and self-finance, the authors provide numerical methods for solutions and practical financial models, enabling you to solve problems both from mathematical and from financial point of view.